Doug Garnett wrote a bog post titled Complexity vs Precise Language in Business (31 March 2025).
Continue reading “Businesses need to be comfortable with ambiguity as ambiguous definitions are often those which most accurately capture broader patterns”Knightian uncertainty
I recently posted a review of the book Why Can’t You Just Give Me The Number? An Executive’s Guide to Using Probabilistic Thinking to Manage Risk and Make Better Decisions by Patrick Leach. In response, Rick Nason commented about the “Knightian distinction of risk & probability.”
Continue reading “Knightian uncertainty”Chris Mowles on Uncertainty
Chris Mowles wrote a Medium post titled The experience of uncertainty (3 Mar 2023).
Continue reading “Chris Mowles on Uncertainty”Roger Martin: Don’t Let VUCA Paralyze Your Strategy
Roger Martin wrote an article titled My Love/Hate Relationship with VUCA: Don’t Let VUCA Paralyze Your Strategy (July 11, 2022).
Continue reading “Roger Martin: Don’t Let VUCA Paralyze Your Strategy”Martin Weigel on Visionaries, Prophets, Complexity, and Uncertainty
Martin Weigel wrote an article titled Visionaries, Prophets, And Heroes: Facing the future Without Them (October 4, 2021).
The article cites Phil Rosenzweig, author of The Halo Effect and the Eight Other Business Delusions That Deceive Managers, Howard Marks, author of The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor, Andy Nair, author of Go Luck Yourself: 40 Ways to Stack the Odds in Your Brand’s Favour, and many others.
Continue reading “Martin Weigel on Visionaries, Prophets, Complexity, and Uncertainty”Where Ambiguity Meets Agility
Gary Burnison wrote an article titled Where Ambiguity Meets Agility. Burnison is CEO of Korn Ferry and author of Leadership U: Accelerating Through the Crisis Curve.
Continue reading “Where Ambiguity Meets Agility”The Elements of Good Judgment
Sir Andrew Likierman wrote an article for Harvard Business Review titled The Elements of Good Judgment. Continue reading “The Elements of Good Judgment”
Faris Yakob on risk, uncertainty, and strategy
Faris Yakob wrote an article titled How strategy turns uncertainty into risk. Continue reading “Faris Yakob on risk, uncertainty, and strategy”
Is the global financial system fragile, resilient, or antifragile?
Peter Neuwirth wrote a blog post titled Fragility, Antifragility, and Financial Forest Fires in two parts (part 1, Part 2). Peter Neuwirth is the author of What’s Your Future Worth? which describes the basic principles behind the actuarial perspective. Continue reading “Is the global financial system fragile, resilient, or antifragile?”
The difference between risk and uncertainty
Allison Schrager wrote an article the Wall Street Journal titled Risk, Uncertainty and Coronavirus. Continue reading “The difference between risk and uncertainty”